The optics plays mapped to Lip-Bu Tan’s bottleneck call — and every private company he’s backed, with buyout status. Straight to it.
The names mapped to his thesis — ranked by his connection. Two he’s tied to directly; three ride the same wave.
| Name | Role in the optics stack | His connection |
|---|---|---|
| $CRDO · Credo | LPO SerDes/DSPs + active electrical cables — the copper-to-optics bridge; 224G PAM4 | DIRECT — early-stage investor, board member today |
| $MRVL · Marvell | PAM4 optical DSPs + custom silicon + Celestial AI Photonic Fabric ($500M rev run-rate guided by late FY28, $1B FY29) | DIRECT — 3 of his companies inside (Inphi, Aquantia, Celestial) |
| $ALAB · Astera Labs | PCIe/CXL retimers + smart cable modules; bought aiXscale Photonics; rev +93% to $308M | Thematic — the same interconnect chokepoint he names |
| $LITE · Lumentum | High-power DFB lasers for co-packaged optics; 800G ZR+; irreplaceable InP supply | Thematic — the laser layer of his optics call |
| $AAOI · Applied Opto | Datacenter optical transceivers — the higher-beta small-cap of the group | Thematic — flagged in coverage of his comments |
CRDO + MRVL = verifiable conviction (board seat · three portfolio companies acquired) · ALAB/LITE/AAOI = same wave, standard cautions (ALAB rich after its run · LITE cyclical · AAOI small-cap torque). All five must pass the Trend Check before entry — live prices from IBKR · this maps the thesis, not the entries.
Two have his fingerprints (Credo — board; Marvell — bought three of his companies) · three ride the wave (ALAB, LITE, AAOI) · check charts before buying.
Every private company he’s backed. Green = acquired · the rest are listed or still private.
| Company | His check | Bought out? |
|---|---|---|
| Celestial AI | Personal — Mar 2025 Series C1 ($250M rd @ $2.5B) | YES — Marvell, Feb 2026, $5.5B |
| Inphi | Walden, by 2004 | YES — Marvell, 2021, ~$10B |
| Aquantia | Led/co-led | YES — Marvell, 2019 |
| Annapurna Labs | Led/co-led | YES — Amazon, 2015 (became AWS silicon) |
| Altair Semi | Led/co-led | YES — Sony, 2016 |
| Aptina Imaging | Walden, by 2004 | YES — ON Semi, 2014 |
| Ariba · JobStreet | Early Walden era | YES — SAP 2012 · SEEK 2014 |
| Credo ($CRDO) | Early-stage · 3.33M sh via Walden vehicles · ~$55M+ sold 2024-25 · ~694k retained | NO — IPO Jan 2022, independent · he’s on the board |
| Ambarella ($AMBA) | Led/co-led | NO — IPO 2012, independent |
| SMIC | $52M via Walden · $630M 2003 round | NO — listed · he exited Jan 2021 |
| AMEC (688012.SH) | Tens of millions via Walden | NO — listed (Shanghai STAR) |
| Check Point | Early Walden era | NO — public, independent |
| Mindtree | Early Walden era | Merged — now LTIMindtree |
| Alif · Artera.ai | Current (Walden Catalyst / Celesta) | NO — still private |
Score: 7+ buyouts — three of them (Inphi · Aquantia · Celestial, ~$15.5B combined) all to Marvell, which is why $MRVL sits in the plays above · the not-bought-out column is mostly IPOs he rode up (Credo, Ambarella) or exits (SMIC).
Most of his private bets got acquired — three by Marvell alone. The ones that didn’t sell went public instead (Credo, Ambarella). Alif and Artera.ai are the two still-private names to watch.
Want the CRDO and MRVL deep dives — entries mapped to the Trend Check?
Join the Discord to find out! →SEC Form 4s / Investing.com / StockTitan / GuruFocus (CRDO: Walden Tech Ventures II LP 3,331,023 sh Jul 2024; 2024-25 sale tranches ~$14M/$8.4M/$8M/$6.8M/$5.6M/$13.4M/$690k/$275k; ~694,073 sh retained post-Jun 24-25 2025 sales @ $90-93.62; holdings via LP + Lip-Bu Tan & Ysa Loo Trust + A&E Investment LLC + personal) · SEC Form 4 / TheStreet (INTC: 1,043,406 sh @ ~$23.96, Mar 21 2025; Mar 2026: 306,692 PSUs + 468,087 options) · Parola Analytics (Celestial AI $250M Series C1 Mar 2025 @ $2.5B, Lip-Bu Tan personal participation) · imec / Ben Pouladian (Marvell-Celestial Feb 2026 $5.5B; Inphi 2021 ~$10B; Aquantia 2019; AMD/Enosemi; ALAB/aiXscale) · House Select Cmte Feb 2024 / Wikipedia ($52M SMIC via Walden, exited Jan 2021; AMEC tens of millions) · Fortune Aug 2025 (SMIC $630M 2003 round, board to 2018) · Committee of 100 bio (led/co-led list) · his LinkedIn (early-stage Credo, IPO 1/2022) · Yahoo/247WallSt (No Priors Jun 18 2026). Pricing not live IBKR.